MARKET UPDATE #151

Free weekly stock market education service with 3 stock ideas.
Disclaimer: The content is for educational purpose only. No investment advice. Please read the full disclaimer.
‌
newsletter-header-2
‌
Hi ,

what a powerful week! The NASDAQ had a follow through day and recaptured the EMA 21 and 65, early leading stocks followed through and also crypto currencies had a good week. I see a return of the growth and speculative sentiment! Remember: The last quarter is usually very strong. Was last week the start of the end-of-year rally?

Always have in mind that follow through days can fail and the problems in the energy market could affect stocks too. If commodity prices continue to rise, it will impact a lot of companies. Observe the situation and potential risk closely.

Here is what you will find in this newsletter:
  • Questions and answers from the subscribers forum
  • Comment on the current market situation: Resumption of the uptrend
  • Stocks I am watching at the moment: $LAC, $UPWK, $AMBA.
  • Trading tips: Know yourself as a trader and select the right trading styly
If you have questions, please use the subscribers forum.

Thank you and good trading,
Julian

‌
toolbox-course
‌
It looks like that a lot of my students are very happy with the video course. Thank you for that!

➡️ Start now and use your 10% discount! ⬅️
‌
reviews
‌
‌
‌

QUESTION AND ANSWERS

1 new question or answer this week. You have to register for the forum! If you have an account, you have to login.

1. Market in correction trading?

Do you have a question for me? Use the free forum. Links are below!

Visit the forum
Register for free
‌
‌
‌

MARKET CONDITIONS

Resumption of the uptrend

Sometimes it looks like prediction when I create scenarios of the potential stock market development and draw them into the chart. But it's not prediction, it's planning. I saw and study so many market situations that I developed a feeling for the market over time. Patterns repeat over and over again, because humans didn't changed so much in the last 100 years or longer.

I might be wrong, but I see the potential of a last rally attempt in the market. Don't forget that the trend from March 2020 is already late stage. The stock market went up for more than 1.5 years now and never saw a deep correction. How much gas is left in the tank?

The economy itself is getting into trouble: Exploding high yields in China, high valuations of companies, commodity prices explodes to the upside, decrease of GDP forecasts … Never forget that a new bear market often starts out of nowhere and when everybody is happy and feeling good! Always be prepared for such an event. Nobody can predict when the markets will turn around. Maybe we will go up 15%, 30% or even 100% from here. You don't want to predict, you want to react and you want to be prepared for everything.

I offer a lot of examples, helpful indicators and tactics to interpret the market environment in my video course Growth Traders Toolbox.

‌
ndx-weekyl

NASDAQ composite weekly chart: Always have in mind that every bull market sooner or later ends. The last bull markets lasts around 2.5 years and they all had one strong first leg and a second, weak leg (late stage). We currently reached the late stage phase in my opinion. That doesn't matter that you can't make money, but you should be aware of it.

‌
‌
‌

3 LEADING STOCKS

This week I have 23 stocks on my watchlist, 8 less (!) as last week. I removed weaker stocks and I want to be very focused at the moment.

Would you like to learn how to find stocks like below? Look into my video course Growth Traders Toolbox.

lac

$LAC: This is a commodity stocks. The company is engaged in the lithium industry and develop new lithium production facilities in the US. They will start production in 2020.

The forecast of lithium sees a 900% increase of the demand in the next 10 years. Of course new metals or rare earths will substitute lithium in future, but the demand in the battery industry will be very high in the next years.

$LAC broke out of a big cup and handle pattern last week. Other lithium names acted strong too.

No sales, no EPS.

‌
upwk-2

$UPWK: I followed the stocks for months now and made some trades in the past. Now it looks like it is setting up again.

$UPWK provides a digital market place for work. As a freelancer you can acquire new projects and as a company you can create offers. That perfects fits into the work at home theme and globalization of digital work.

Sales growth in the last 3 quarters: 32%, 37%, 42%. EPS growth in the last 3 quarters: 100%, 200%, 200%. EPS estimates: Positive EPS estimate for 2022.

‌
amba-2

$AMBA: I highlighted the stock in one of the last issues of the free newsletter. The company is engaged in the semiconductor industry, but I think it's more a digital solution provider.

$AMBA produces chips for visual recognition. They are used in cars, robotics or security. The company integrated AI / ML components into the chips, so that you can use them easily for autonomous driving or visual detection. A potential high growth area.

Sales growth in the last 3 quarters: 9%, 28%, 58%. EPS growth in the last 3 quarters: 0%, 475%, 483%. EPS estimates: 345% for 2021 and 27% for 2022.

‌
‌
‌

TRADING TIPS

Know yourself as a trader and select the right trading style

Do you know yourself? Your strengths and your weaknesses? What you like and what you don't like?

When we grow up as children we have so much time to get familiar with ourselves and discover what we like and what we can do best. Later we choose a job which we like and can do, we try out different sports and find out what we like and can do best. But when it comes to trading, people ignore that area completely.

It's one of the most important things to find out which trading style matches your personality. Otherwise you will never be able to perform. It's one thing to find an edge, it's another thing to execute the edge. We are only able to execute a trading system when we are compatible with the trading system.

If you are a person who performs best under stressful conditions, need a lot of variety and have the feeling of doing work, a long term trading or investing approach will kill you! You are too impatient to sit in a trade for months, go through several deep pullbacks and maybe give back a lot of profits to the market.

The opposite is true too. If you are a person who need time to make decisions, collect information, do analysis and need days to come to conclusion, a day trading approach is not the right thing for you. You will not be able to make fast decisions and strive under stressful conditions.

I also encountered traders which are very social persons. They need other people and have to work with other people. Only then they are able to perform. When they are alone, they do not have the energy and will to work. You can encounter such personalities in trading teams, communities, funds or prop trading companies.

Spend time to get familiar with yourself! The best way I found to do this: Analyze your past decisions. Why did you take the job your are doing right now? Why did you switched from one company to another? Why did you choose to live alone or share a flat with other people? What motivated you? What is easy for your to do? … Try to understand that and it will help you to create the right trading style and environment.

‌
‌
‌
Share this on FacebookShare this on InstagramShare this on TwitterShare this on Youtube
You have received this email because you have subscribed to Trading Blog - Julian Komar as . If you no longer wish to receive emails please unsubscribe.
webversion - unsubscribe - update profile
Wilstedter Weg 34a 22851 Norderstedt Germany
© 2026 Trading Blog - Julian Komar, All rights reserved.
‌
‌