MARKET UPDATE #82

Free weekly stock market education service with 3 stock ideas.
Disclaimer: The content is for educational purpose only. No investment advice. Please read the full disclaimer.
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Hi ,

what a powerful week! The most leading stocks went up 20% or more in one week. It smells a little bit like an exhaustion run, but I don't want to predict the end of the rally. Instead you want to follow the strongest names and let the profits run until it's time to sell.

It's a great market to see if your trading approach works or not. If you are not able to make money in this market, you have to double check every part of your approach. Maybe you are trading the wrong stocks or have problems with buying and selling. Don't give up if that's the case – use it to learn.

Here is what you will find in this newsletter:
  • Questions and answers from the subscribers forum
  • Comment on the current market situation: New highs in the IBD 50 index
  • Stocks I am watching at the moment: $MNTA, $PAAS, $ONEM
  • Trading tips: Stick to your winning stocks
If you have questions, please use the subscribers forum.

Thank you and good trading,
Julian
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QUESTION AND ANSWERS

1 new questions:
1) Minimum number of days (Pivot Point)

Do you have a question for me? Use the free forum. Links are below!

Visit the forum
Register for free
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MARKET CONDITIONS

New highs in the IBD 50 index

The last week was a great example why I always say: You watchlist and portfolio is the best indicator or index! If everything on your watchlist looks great and set up, there is no reason not to trade. Leading stocks can explode to the upside while the indices are going sideway.

While the most indices are hovering around their 200 EMA, the NASDAQ is fighting with the 10k mark. We will see next week if the indices can follow through after the bounce this week. If not, you should be prepared that also extended leading stocks can correct sharply. Remember: A lot of people are sitting on huge gains in extended stocks in an extended stock market. You don't want to predict a correction, but you must be prepared to sell.

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indices-3
Indices overview: The IBD 50 index made a new high last week! Also the NASDAQ is close to the all-time high. That shows me that growth stocks are leading. On the other side the Russell 2000 and S&P 500 created a lower high. It can be a consolidation or the start of a correction. That must be monitored closely.
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3 LEADING STOCKS

I extended my watchlist to monitor a broader number of stocks. I sometime do that to see what's going on in the market. But it's also a very strong market and a lot of stocks are in a strong trend.

This week I have 61 stocks on my watchlist, 20 more as last week.

mnta

$MNTA: Many biotech stocks are showing a high relative strength. This shows me that the sector is on the move. $MNTA broke out of a very nice VCP (volatility contraction pattern) and already tested the breakout line.

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onem-2

$ONEM: This medical stock moved strongly on Friday. I want to highlight this chart here to show you the accumulation around the EMA 21. You can see that every shake out below the EMA 21 was bought and every pullback too. That's shows you that institutions are using this EMA for buying into the stock. In addition there was a double bottom pattern.

If you want to trade pullbacks, look for such price and volume action around the EMA 21.

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paas-2

$PAAS: There are many gold and silver stocks which create nice consolidations in the last weeks. $PAAS is one of the leader in this sector. You can see the same accumulation around the EMA 21 as in the chart above. I think this sector is on the move. We will see next week if gold and silver stocks break out to the upside.

If I see such a behavior around the EMA 21, I sometime directly buy a small position and add aggressively to the stock when it's following through to the upside. But on the other side you must be prepared to sell very quickly if the stock continues to go sideways or break the support area.

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TRADING TIPS

Stick to your winning stocks

In this very strong market, stocks are breaking out every day and hour. It's very challenging not to lose the focus and stick with your winners. Sometimes a position is moving up 10% in one day and you are maybe tempted to take profits.

The best approach is to keep your winners and don't buy or sell stocks every day for a small gain. It doesn't matter if you follow a trend for some days or some weeks. But if a market is very strong, it's more rewarding to hold your winners for a larger gain than usual. The last week is the best example for that. If you had sold every stock for a 5% or 10% gain, you missed the great opportunity to extend these gains to 20% or even 40%.

I sometimes tend to trade too much in and out of stocks. I call that the "dance with the market approach" to get into the best stocks. If a stock is not showing a profit after I bought it, I sell it and move my money into stocks which are acting better. After a few "dancing rounds", I moved my money into the best stocks and then I let the price run. With such a method, you collect multiple very small losses and produce some larger profits. Don't make the mistake with such an approach to sell you winners too early, because otherwise your profits are not able to make up for the small losses.

But how long to hold on to a winner? That's depends on the market, your approach and the stock. If a stock made a huge gain in a couple of days, there is nothing wrong to take partial profits and let the rest run. Or you sell the stock after you made a profit of multiple times your initial risk and move the money into a new, fresh trend. In such a strong and fast market, as we have at the moment, you can apply a swing trading approach to accumulate your profits faster.

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